Study Finds 90% of
Medicare Patients Have Little Risk of Opioid Overdose
By Pat Anson, PNN
Editor
Current methods used
to identify Medicare patients at high risk of overdosing on prescription opioids
target many people who are not really at high risk, according to a team of
researchers who found that over 90% of patients have little to no risk of
overdosing.
The
computer models developed three risk groups that predict which patients are at
risk of overdosing over a 12 month period.
·
Low
risk patients (67.5%) have 0.006% risk of overdose
·
Medium
risk patients (23.3%) have 0.05% risk of overdose
·
High
risk patients (9.1%) have 1.77% risk of overdose
Put
another way, out of 100,000 Medicare patients in the low risk group, six would
have an overdose; while there would
be 1,770 overdoses in a high risk group of the same size
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